Fuel Costs Are Down, So Why Are Airfares Still Up?

Rich Thomaselli
by Rich Thomaselli
Last updated: 10:31 AM ET, Wed November 19, 2014

You're probably paying less at the gas pump than you have in months, maybe in a year, and your home heating oil is probably down, too.

So if fuel costs are dropping, why aren't airfares?

Well, call it the reverse Mount Everest effect. In 1924, George Mallory was asked by the New York Times why he was about to attempt a third climb on the world's tallest mountain. He replied simply, "Because it's there."

So why aren't airlines dropping their fares in the wake of lower fuel prices?

Because they don't have to.

"In a strong demand environment, we don't plan to go off and just proactively cut fares," American Airlines president Scott Kirby told investors earlier this year.

Added Southwest CEO Gary Kelly, on lowering fares now but having to raise them again if oil prices spike: "That would be absolutely the worst thing that we could do."

According to the Associated Press, from Oct. 1, 2013 to Sept. 30 of this year, domestic airlines used 16.2 billion gallons of fuel at an average cost of $2.97 a gallon, down 10 cents a gallon from the previous year. That dime saved the airlines $1.6 billion.

In fact, fuel prices are expected to drop even further, as the AP reports United Airlines estimates it will pay $2.76 to $2.81 a gallon during the last three months of the year.

Will it spike again? Who knows. Uncertainty in the Middle East among oil-producing nations always makes for an unstable situation.

But there are other reasons why the airlines aren't passing along the savings. For one, they are passing along the savings - to their investors. Airlines are in the midst of record profits, and several have been able to announce dividends based on those quarterly reports.

Second, the airlines are re-investing in themselves. According to the Washington, D.C.-based airline lobby group Airlines for America, carriers spent $10.2 billion through the first nine months of this yeara on capital improvements to their planes, terminals and company infrastructure.

Moreover, the last five years have seen more than 10,000 new orders for planes from Airbus and Boeing.

But the bottom line is, airlines aren't cutting prices because they don't have to. Speaking on the Willis Report (video embedded below), TravelPulse founder Mark Murphy said, "People are willing to pay it. As long as they're willing to pay it... they're going to continue to collect that toll."

This is a peculiar time for airlines. They normally fight a losing battle but this is a perfect storm - low fuel prices (traditionally their biggest expense) and high demand.

Quite simply, it's a moment they can milk for a while.


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Rich Thomaselli

Rich Thomaselli

Associate Writer

Editor Associate Writer true 9281 14744 Rich Thomaselli has written for TravelPulse since 2014 and has been a professional journalist for nearly 40 years. His work has appeared in USA Today, the New York Times and New York Yankees publications. He is an 11-time writ

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