Rising Fuel Costs Force Major US Airlines to Reassess Profits and Flight Plans

Image: Plane being refueled before a flight. (Photo Credit: Chalabala / Adobe Stock)
Image: Plane being refueled before a flight. (Photo Credit: Chalabala / Adobe Stock)
Donald Wood
by Donald Wood
Last updated: 10:15 AM ET, Wed October 21, 2026

Rising jet fuel prices are squeezing profits at major U.S. airlines, prompting carriers to lower earnings expectations and reconsider flight schedules despite strong demand for air travel. 

According to Reuters, Alaska Airlines and United Airlines issued weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter forecasts on Tuesday, adding to industry concerns about operating costs heading into the holiday travel season.

United expects adjusted earnings of 50 cents to $1.50 per share for the fourth quarter, below the average analyst estimate of $1.76. The airline expects to pay around $4.80 per gallon for fuel during the quarter, about 45 cents more than analysts had anticipated.

Alaska Air Group officials warned of mounting financial pressure, forecasting an adjusted fourth-quarter loss of $2 to $2.50 per share. The airline expects its annual fuel bill will be $1.8 billion higher than originally planned.

Delta Air Lines has reported similar pressures, cutting its 2026 earnings forecast earlier this month and estimating that its annual fuel expenses will rise by $6 billion compared with 2025. Airline officials have maintained that travel demand remains strong, with higher fares and premium-ticket sales helping offset some of the additional expense.

American Airlines and Southwest Airlines are also navigating the fuel-price surge, with American estimating that higher fuel prices could add about $1 billion to its fourth-quarter costs alone and Southwest reassessing planned capacity, including potentially reducing less-profitable flights as it works to protect margins. 


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