United Alters Q4 Forecast Due to Higher Fuel Prices, War in the Middle East

Image: A United Airlines plane. (United Airlines)
Image: A United Airlines plane. (United Airlines)
Rich Thomaselli
by Rich Thomaselli
Last updated: 9:55 AM ET, Wed October 18, 2023

United Airlines is already saying that its fourth quarter probably won't meet Wall Street expectations.

A combination of rising fuel prices and war in the Middle East is expected to lower the profit margin for the carrier.

United already suspended its flights to Israel earlier this month and has the most service to Israel of any U.S.-based airline, so its bottom line is already being affected. In addition, CNBC notes that jet fuel prices are up about 25 percent since the beginning of summer.

Still, United had a pretty good third quarter even though it has apprehensions about the next quarter.

The airline beat Wall Street expectations by more than 30 cents on price per share and by $4 million in total revenue.

But if fuel prices don't settle down, and the war in the Middle East goes longer than expected, it’s a cause for concern. Overnight trading on Wall Street shows the stock price is already down almost 2 percent on Wednesday morning.

United says its total revenue will rise compared to last year, but how much will depend on the length of the war. United, like fellow global carriers Delta Air Lines and American Airlines, experienced a growth in international travel over the last year.

United was expected to address its potential fourth quarter problems in a conference call with analysts on Wednesday.

Separately, United avoided a potential costly problem by coming to terms with its pilots on a new contract. 


For the latest travel news, updates and deals, subscribe to the daily TravelPulse newsletter.

Topics From This Article to Explore

More From TravelPulse

Rich Thomaselli

Rich Thomaselli

Associate Writer

Editor Associate Writer true 9281 14744 Rich Thomaselli has written for TravelPulse since 2014 and has been a professional journalist for nearly 40 years. His work has appeared in USA Today, the New York Times and New York Yankees publications. He is an 11-time writ

Grow Your Travel Business With Certified Courses

Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Los Cabos Specialist ProgramSell the magic of Los Cabos: luxury, adventure, and endless sunshine.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Allianz Specialist ProgramProtect every journey with Allianz Partners Travel Insurance.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Majestic Resorts Specialist ProgramDiscover all-inclusive luxury at Majestic Resorts in paradise.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Los Cabos Specialist ProgramSell the magic of Los Cabos: luxury, adventure, and endless sunshine.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Allianz Specialist ProgramProtect every journey with Allianz Partners Travel Insurance.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Majestic Resorts Specialist ProgramDiscover all-inclusive luxury at Majestic Resorts in paradise.

Don't Miss These Travel Agent Events and Trainings

Upcoming Event
Selling More with TAP: Unlock the Value of Portugal StopoverMonday, November 9, 2026, 2:00PM EasternJoin TAP Air Portugal and Visit Portugal for an exclusive webinar dedicated to TAP's Portugal Stopover...
Upcoming Webinar
Wildlife, Culture & Warm-Weather AdventureTuesday, November 10, 2026, 2:00pm EasternFrom extraordinary wildlife encounters to vibrant cultures and breathtaking landscapes, discover how...
Upcoming Webinar
Black Friday Is Just the Beginning with ALG Vacations®Wednesday, November 11, 2026 2:00pm EasternJoin ALG Vacations® on November 11 for a special webinar featuring Jacki Marks, Jim Tedesco, and Ben...
Upcoming Event
Selling More with TAP: Unlock the Value of Portugal StopoverMonday, November 9, 2026, 2:00PM EasternJoin TAP Air Portugal and Visit Portugal for an exclusive webinar dedicated to TAP's Portugal Stopover...
Upcoming Webinar
Wildlife, Culture & Warm-Weather AdventureTuesday, November 10, 2026, 2:00pm EasternFrom extraordinary wildlife encounters to vibrant cultures and breathtaking landscapes, discover how...
Upcoming Webinar
Black Friday Is Just the Beginning with ALG Vacations®Wednesday, November 11, 2026 2:00pm EasternJoin ALG Vacations® on November 11 for a special webinar featuring Jacki Marks, Jim Tedesco, and Ben...