United Alters Q4 Forecast Due to Higher Fuel Prices, War in the Middle East

Image: A United Airlines plane. (United Airlines)
Image: A United Airlines plane. (United Airlines)
Rich Thomaselli
by Rich Thomaselli
Last updated: 9:55 AM ET, Wed October 18, 2023

United Airlines is already saying that its fourth quarter probably won't meet Wall Street expectations.

A combination of rising fuel prices and war in the Middle East is expected to lower the profit margin for the carrier.

United already suspended its flights to Israel earlier this month and has the most service to Israel of any U.S.-based airline, so its bottom line is already being affected. In addition, CNBC notes that jet fuel prices are up about 25 percent since the beginning of summer.

Still, United had a pretty good third quarter even though it has apprehensions about the next quarter.

The airline beat Wall Street expectations by more than 30 cents on price per share and by $4 million in total revenue.

But if fuel prices don't settle down, and the war in the Middle East goes longer than expected, it’s a cause for concern. Overnight trading on Wall Street shows the stock price is already down almost 2 percent on Wednesday morning.

United says its total revenue will rise compared to last year, but how much will depend on the length of the war. United, like fellow global carriers Delta Air Lines and American Airlines, experienced a growth in international travel over the last year.

United was expected to address its potential fourth quarter problems in a conference call with analysts on Wednesday.

Separately, United avoided a potential costly problem by coming to terms with its pilots on a new contract. 


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Rich Thomaselli

Rich Thomaselli

Associate Writer

Editor Associate Writer true 9281 14744 Rich Thomaselli has written for TravelPulse since 2014 and has been a professional journalist for nearly 40 years. His work has appeared in USA Today, the New York Times and New York Yankees publications. He is an 11-time writ

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