US Travel Market Forecast to Decline Through 2023

Image: PHOTO: United States Capitol in Washington, DC. (photo via dkfielding/iStock/Getty Images Plus)Is Active: true
Image: PHOTO: United States Capitol in Washington, DC. (photo via dkfielding/iStock/Getty Images Plus)Is Active: true
Janeen Christoff
by Janeen Christoff
Last updated: 2:42 PM ET, Fri December 6, 2019

Overseas demand for travel to the U.S. remains sluggish as the country falls behind international travel growth.

The latest forecast released by the U.S. Travel Association shows that this trend will continue through 2023 and highlights the need for the reauthorization of Brand USA.

The data reveals that the U.S. share of the total long-haul travel market will decline to 10.4 percent by 2023, declining from its high of 13.7 percent in 2015.

While global long-haul travel is projected to grow an average of 4.8 percent annually through 2023, the pace of U.S. growth will be just half of that figure (2.4 percent).

According to U.S. Travel, the 2019-2023 decline in market share would translate to a loss to the U.S. economy of a further $78 billion in visitor spending and 130,000 American jobs.

Since international visitor numbers began to decline, the economy has taken a hit, losing $59 billion and 120,000 jobs through 2018.

"International inbound travel is the No. 2 U.S. export, and making its pace of growth a national priority could be a difference-maker in helping to keep the country out of a recession," said U.S. Travel Association President and CEO Roger Dow. "Right now, the country is not capturing the full economic potential of overseas travel, but there are some turnkey policy solutions that could help to address that-starting with congressional reauthorization of the Brand USA tourism marketing organization."

An added concern is the projected soft growth in the normally strong domestic travel market, which will increase by just 1.4 percent in 2020.

U.S. Travel notes that the reauthorization of Brand USA could lessen the blow and its unique funding model doesn't cost U.S. taxpayers a dime. The agency will expire next year without immediate action by Congress and is a crucial program for ensuring the U.S. remains competitive in the race for international tourism dollars and their resulting economic benefits.

According to U.S. Travel, Brand USA's marketing efforts over the past six years have brought 6.6 million incremental visitors to the U.S., generating $47.7 billion in economic impact and supporting nearly 52,000 American jobs annually.


For the latest travel news, updates and deals, subscribe to the daily TravelPulse newsletter.

Topics From This Article to Explore

More From TravelPulse

Related Videos

Janeen Christoff

Janeen Christoff

Executive Editor - AGENTatHOME | TravelPulse Content Strategy

Editor Executive Editor - AGENTatHOME | TravelPulse Content Strategy true [email protected] 9088 14744 Janeen Christoff caught the travel bug while living in London, England. After two years on the road, she settled in Los Angeles and focused her writing on

Grow Your Travel Business With Certified Courses

Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Majestic Resorts Specialist ProgramDiscover all-inclusive luxury at Majestic Resorts in paradise.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Los Cabos Specialist ProgramSell the magic of Los Cabos: luxury, adventure, and endless sunshine.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Allianz Specialist ProgramProtect every journey with Allianz Partners Travel Insurance.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Majestic Resorts Specialist ProgramDiscover all-inclusive luxury at Majestic Resorts in paradise.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Los Cabos Specialist ProgramSell the magic of Los Cabos: luxury, adventure, and endless sunshine.
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Allianz Specialist ProgramProtect every journey with Allianz Partners Travel Insurance.

Don't Miss These Travel Agent Events and Trainings

Watch Now!
Who is Exoticca and bucket list destinationsFriday, October 2, 2026
2:00pm Eastern
Discover the world of Exoticca and see why extraordinary travel doesn’t have to come with an...
Upcoming Webinar
How Risk-Free Groups with Collette Skyrocket GrowthMonday, October 5, 2026
2:00pm Eastern
Group travel is your Ticket to business growth. Looking to grow your travel business? Join Matt...
Upcoming Webinar
Social Media Made Simple for UTuesday, October 6, 2026
2:00pm Eastern
Social media doesn't have to be complicated. Join Millie Britt, our Digital Marketing Coordinator, for...
Watch Now!
Who is Exoticca and bucket list destinationsFriday, October 2, 2026
2:00pm Eastern
Discover the world of Exoticca and see why extraordinary travel doesn’t have to come with an...
Upcoming Webinar
How Risk-Free Groups with Collette Skyrocket GrowthMonday, October 5, 2026
2:00pm Eastern
Group travel is your Ticket to business growth. Looking to grow your travel business? Join Matt...
Upcoming Webinar
Social Media Made Simple for UTuesday, October 6, 2026
2:00pm Eastern
Social media doesn't have to be complicated. Join Millie Britt, our Digital Marketing Coordinator, for...