Though the U.S. Travel Association forecast for 2025
revealed modest growth, the bad news is that the significant decline in
international visitors threatens both American jobs
and the economy.
The report states that, “The latest forecast signals both
opportunity and warning for America’s travel economy. While domestic travel is
holding steady, the continued decline
in international visitors threatens billions in spending and thousands of
jobs. The next decade can be one of extraordinary growth, but only if we act
decisively. Outdated systems, excessive visa wait times and new travel
deterrents are driving global visitors elsewhere. The U.S. must lead by
modernizing travel infrastructure, streamlining entry processes and sending a
clear message: America is open for business.”
Travel, the forecast went on to say, "is one of the most
dynamic industries in the world, a powerful engine of economic growth that
supports nearly one in 10 American jobs, contributes $2.9 trillion to GDP and
provides opportunities for millions of Americans. Beyond economic impact, travel fosters social cohesion,
strengthens cultural understanding and enriches lives by boosting health,
resilience and lifelong learning."
Total U.S. travel spending is projected to grow 1.1% to $1.35 trillion in 2025, and will reach $1.49 trillion by 2029, the report said. Domestic travelers are forecasted to spend $1.2 trillion in 2025, fueling communities nationwide, according to the report. International visitors are estimated to spend $173 billion this year, making travel America’s largest services export.
Inbound international visits are projected to decrease 6.3% from 72.4 million in 2024 to 67.9 million in 2025. This marks the first decline since 2020. However, visits are expected to rebound in 2026 thanks to major events like the FIFA World Cup and America 250 celebrations.
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