Caribbean Arrivals Growth to Slow in First Quarter

Image: The Dominican Republic remained the Caribbean’s most-visited destination in 2024. (Photo by Brian Major)
Image: The Dominican Republic remained the Caribbean’s most-visited destination in 2024. (Photo by Brian Major)
Brian Major
by Brian Major
Last updated: 11:40 AM ET, Tue April 29, 2025

Caribbean destinations’ first-quarter visitor arrivals growth will be “more moderate” than earlier forecasts due to “prevailing economic uncertainties” and booking slowdowns in major source markets over the first quarter of 2025, Caribbean Tourism Organization (CTO) officials said Tuesday.

The region’s overnight, land-based visitor arrivals will increase by two to five percent, with Caribbean destinations hosting 35 million travelers in 2025, said Aliyyah Shakeer, CTO’s director of research. Additionally, cruise ship visitor arrivals are expected to grow this year by five to seven percent, totaling 36 million visitors.

“Despite geopolitical uncertainty and global economic challenges, our sector has shown remarkable resilience,” said Dona Regis-Prosper, CTO’s secretary-general.

CTO- tracked destinations achieved a collective 6.1 percent year-over-year visitor arrivals increase in 2024, hosting 34.2 million international travelers across the region, organization officials said.

“To maintain this momentum, we must double down on strategic investments, innovative partnerships, and sustainable practices that protect our people, our culture and our environment,” Regis-Prosper added in a statement.

CTO’s “Caribbean Tourism Performance Review 2024” study also reports the Caribbean’s 2024 visitor total represents a 6.9 percent increase over pre-pandemic 2019, the second consecutive year the region has outperformed that benchmark.

The United States remained the Caribbean’s top visitor source market in 2024, with approximately 16.8 million arrivals, a 3.5 percent increase from 2023 and a 7.9 increase over 2019 pre-pandemic levels.

Caribbean nations hosted 3.3 million Canadian travelers last year, a four percent year-over-year increase compared with 2023, although slightly below 2019 levels.

Driven by expanded air connectivity across the region, intra-Caribbean travel also experienced growth in 2024. Caribbean residents made an estimated 1.6 million trips within the region, a 5.1 percent year-over-year increase. Still, the figure represents only 79.2 percent of pre-pandemic traffic recorded in 2019.

The Dominican Republic remained the Caribbean’s most-visited destination in 2024, hosting 8.5 million travelers. Jamaica followed with 2.9 million visitors, while Cuba (2.2 million), The Bahamas (1.9 million), Aruba (1.4 million) and Puerto Rico (1 million) rounded out the Caribbean’s top-drawing nations. The six destinations represented 56 percent of all visitor arrivals to the region in 2024.

Conversely, tiny Montserrat achieved the Caribbean’s highest year-over-year growth in tourist arrivals in 2024, with a 29.4 percent increase. Next in year-over-year growth was St. Vincent & the Grenadines (a 27.2 percent increase), Belize (22.8 percent) and Curaçao (20.3 percent).

Curaçao reported the best performance in terms of growth compared with 2019 pre-pandemic levels, reporting a 51.1 percent visitor increase. St. Maarten (48 percent) and the U.S. Virgin Islands (41.8 percent) were next in the category.


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