When Will US Inbound Travel Fully Recover?

Image: Friends with American flag. (photo via g-stockstudio / iStock / Getty Images Plus)
Image: Friends with American flag. (photo via g-stockstudio / iStock / Getty Images Plus)
Donald Wood
by Donald Wood
Last updated: 9:47 AM ET, Tue March 14, 2023

For the first time since the pandemic, the National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO) released its international visitation forecast.

According to the NTTO data, inbound travel is expected to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels in 2025 and reach 91 million international visitations by 2027, which is in line with the government's recently-announced National Travel and Tourism Strategy.

"We are hopeful that a path to 90 million by 2027 remains achievable, but this requires that the right policies are put in place and the continued strength of Brand USA so that the U.S. remains a top destination in an increasingly competitive environment," U.S. Travel Association Economist Aaron Szyf said.

The study found that total visitations in 2023 would reach 79 percent of pre-pandemic levels, as tourism numbers from China and Japan remained depressed. As for Canada, this year's numbers will stay at 81 percent of 2019 levels.

"At the same time, we do hope that this forecast will turn out to be 'too conservative,' especially as it relates to Canada, from where we have seen incredible growth throughout 2022," Szyf continued.

In 2024, the recovery is expected to increase significantly, reaching 94 percent of pre-pandemic totals. NTTO projects that inbound travel will get 115 percent of 2019 levels by 2027.

Last month, the World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) released a study that found travel's recovery in the U.S. could rebound strongly in 2022. The tourism industry could reach $2 trillion in GDP contribution and exceed pre-pandemic levels by 6.2 percent.

Data suggests the U.S. domestic travel spending could reach more than $1.1 trillion annually, surpassing pre-pandemic levels by 11.3 percent. International traveler spending could see a growth of $113 billion during the year, reaching nearly $155 billion, 14 percent less than 2019 levels.


For the latest travel news, updates and deals, subscribe to the daily TravelPulse newsletter.

Topics From This Article to Explore

More From TravelPulse

Related Videos

Donald Wood

Donald Wood

Managing Editor

Donald Wood is TravelPulse’s Managing Editor, bringing nearly 15 years of experience to the desk. He currently lives outside Philadelphia with his wife and two children.

Grow Your Travel Business With Certified Courses

Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Puerto Vallarta Specialist ProgramEnveloped in the beauty of a by-gone time, this colorful town on Mexico’s Pacific Coast is sure to win...
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Costa Rica Specialist ProgramCosta Rica Specialist Program academy ENROLL NOW Costa Rica offers golden shores, fish-filled waters,...
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Korea Travel Specialist ProgramThis course will allow you to explore this fascinating country's incredible diversity of experiences...
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Puerto Vallarta Specialist ProgramEnveloped in the beauty of a by-gone time, this colorful town on Mexico’s Pacific Coast is sure to win...
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Costa Rica Specialist ProgramCosta Rica Specialist Program academy ENROLL NOW Costa Rica offers golden shores, fish-filled waters,...
Travel Agent Academy
Travel Agent Academy
Korea Travel Specialist ProgramThis course will allow you to explore this fascinating country's incredible diversity of experiences...

Don't Miss These Travel Agent Events and Trainings

Upcoming Webinar
Small Groups, Big AdventuresThursday, June 18, 2026
2:00pm ET
Join Trafalgar and Insight Vacations for an exclusive launch webinar introducing 56 new Small Group...
Upcoming Webinar
Discover Houston, A World in a CityMonday, June 22, 2026
2:00pm Eastern
Join Visit Houston for an inside look at one of the country’s most dynamic and diverse destinations....
Upcoming Webinar
Why Cruise, When You Can CunardWednesday, June 24 2026
2:00pm Eastern
When cruise is the option, Cunard is the difference. This session explores what sets the Cunard...
Upcoming Webinar
Small Groups, Big AdventuresThursday, June 18, 2026
2:00pm ET
Join Trafalgar and Insight Vacations for an exclusive launch webinar introducing 56 new Small Group...
Upcoming Webinar
Discover Houston, A World in a CityMonday, June 22, 2026
2:00pm Eastern
Join Visit Houston for an inside look at one of the country’s most dynamic and diverse destinations....
Upcoming Webinar
Why Cruise, When You Can CunardWednesday, June 24 2026
2:00pm Eastern
When cruise is the option, Cunard is the difference. This session explores what sets the Cunard...