Jet Fuel Prices to Remain High Despite US, Iran Ceasefire

Image: Refueling of an airplane. (Photo Credit: Chalabala / Adobe Stock)
Image: Refueling of an airplane. (Photo Credit: Chalabala / Adobe Stock)
Donald Wood
by Donald Wood
Last updated: 12:15 PM ET, Wed April 8, 2026

International Air Transport Association (IATA) Director General Willie Walsh said that the ceasefire between the United States and Iran was “unlikely to provide immediate relief to the global aviation industry.”

According to Reuters.com, Walsh said on Wednesday that it would take “months” for aviation fuel prices to return to normal, even if Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, due to the ongoing disruptions to Middle East oil refining capacity.

Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted fuel supplies for planes, but oil prices have dropped after United States President Donald Trump said he agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran.

Walsh believes oil prices will come down, but the war’s impact on refineries will disproportionally affect jet fuel. 

When asked about the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, Walsh told Reuters, “If it were to reopen and remain open, I think it will still take a period of months to get back to where supply needs to be given the disruption to the refining capacity in the Middle East.”

On Wednesday, Delta Air Lines—one of the first U.S. carriers to report its first quarter earnings amid the Iran war—revealed that it expects profits in the second quarter of 2026 to be lower than originally expected. 

The airline’s CEO, Ed Bastian, said that executives are taking steps such as “meaningfully reducing capacity growth, with a downward bias until the fuel environment improves.” 

Delta will nix its second-quarter capacity growth plans, cutting supply by about 3.5 percentage points, according to Reuters.


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