AAA Predicts Highest Number of Memorial Day Travelers in Nearly 20 Years

Image: Group of young people going on a road trip. (Photo Credit: Adobe Stock/Alessandro Biascioli)
Image: Group of young people going on a road trip. (Photo Credit: Adobe Stock/Alessandro Biascioli)
Laurie Baratti
by Laurie Baratti
Last updated: 12:00 AM ET, Mon May 13, 2024

As the unofficial start of summer approaches, AAA projects that nearly 44 million travelers in the United States are gearing up to hit the road for the Memorial Day holiday weekend. This forecast marks the second-highest number of Memorial Day holiday travelers since AAA began tracking data in 2000, nearly matching 2005’s record of 44 million.

“We haven’t seen Memorial Day weekend travel numbers like these in almost 20 years,” said Paula Twidale, Senior Vice President of AAA Travel. “We’re projecting an additional one million travelers this holiday weekend compared to 2019, which not only means we’re exceeding pre-pandemic levels but also signals a very busy summer travel season ahead.” 

By Road

The majority of travelers—approximately 38.4 million—are expected to embark on road trips, with that number setting a new record high for Memorial Day travel by car since AAA began data tracking 24 years ago. This figure represents a four percent increase over last year and a 1.9 percent rise compared to 2019. 

This Memorial Day weekend will likely see similar gas prices to what drivers paid during the same period in 2023, when the national average was about $3.57 per gallon. And, although pump prices have remained relatively steady in recent weeks, they may experience a slight increase as the summer driving season commences. Of course, this will be determined by the cost of oil, which continues to be influenced by such factors as the current geopolitical crises in regions like the Middle East and Ukraine.

Passengers seated inside of a commercial airplane cabin.

Passengers seated inside of a commercial airplane cabin. (Photo Credit: Adobe Stock/kasto)

By Air

Airports are also anticipating a surge in passengers, with an estimated 3.51 million travelers expected to take to the skies, marking a 4.8 percent increase over 2023 and nine percent growth compared to pre-pandemic 2019. That will make this the busiest Memorial Day weekend for air travel since 2005, when 3.64 million boarded planes as the sector rebounded post-9/11. 

While domestic airfare prices will come with a nominal increase of one to two percent compared to last year, various factors, including as destination, number of stops and cabin class, will always produce a wide variance in ticket costs.

By...Everything Else

Besides flying and driving, nearly two million individuals are projected to opt for alternative modes of transportation, such as buses, trains and cruise ships. AAA predicts 1.9 million people will get away using these other forms of transportation, representing a 5.6 percent increase compared to last Memorial Day weekend. 

“This category took the biggest hit during the pandemic with fewer people taking public transportation or not cruising at all,” Twidale said. “Now—five years later—we’re back to 2019 numbers. Travel demand has been soaring, and long holiday weekends create the perfect windows for getaways.” 


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Laurie Baratti

Laurie Baratti

Assistant Editor

Laurie Baratti is an Assistant Editor for TravelPulse. She is a San Diego-based journalist whose work has previously appeared in publications like TravelAge West, SPACE, Modern Home + Living, Montage, and Sandals Life magazines. Travel writing has long been her passion, and she is always looking for excuses to explore the world outside of her native California. Laurie is also a lifelong equestrian, a proud pet-parent, and an underground advocate of the Oxford comma.

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